Search

GREAT RIDES & STAYS!
Fab Ads
Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Rate Thread
Page 4 of 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149206 10/29/20 08:30 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
Paul49 Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887

Last edited by Paul49; 10/29/20 08:33 PM.

Current: 1958 Ariel 650 FH, 2014 Tiger Sport1050, 1995 XT225 Serow, 2016 Tiger 800 XRx.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149209 10/30/20 02:23 PM
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 3,583
peejman Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 3,583
I foresee another long, lonely winter for a lot of people.

I guess we were fortunate with our kids in that we decided to start home-schooling them in 2018, so we were prepared and had a little time in prior to the shutdown.

Tennessee is publishing the data sets for the testing and results. I'm quite confident that the data is significantly flawed as reported, but it's all there is for now. I don't know if other states are providing data or not.

https://www.tn.gov/health/cedep/ncov/data/downloadable-datasets.html

I looked at it a few days ago and found a few interesting things... Of a population of 6.9M, 3.5M tests have been administered. I know it's not 1 for 1, but on the surface that's 50% of the population. So that makes me wonder about the total number of those getting regularly tested (medical, athletes, ...) and what percentage that represents.

Another interesting thing is the "probable" rate. Best I'm aware, "probable" means someone in close contact with someone who's positive. So if I test positive, then the rest of my family (3 people) are listed as probable. The data doesn't show a huge number of probables, but it's not insignificant either.

Then there's this article, in the NY Times of all publications, that talks about how the tests are performed. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/29/health/coronavirus-testing.html

Quote
Tests with thresholds so high may detect not just live virus but also genetic fragments, leftovers from infection that pose no particular risk — akin to finding a hair in a room long after a person has left. .... In Massachusetts, from 85 to 90 percent of people who tested positive in July with a cycle threshold of 40 would have been deemed negative if the threshold were 30 cycles, Dr. Mina said.


This shall pass, be still and know.
2006 XT225, UNI filter, ProTaper bars, MSR handguards, SS front brake line, Shinko 241's.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: peejman] #149383 11/23/20 06:45 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
Paul49 Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
How you folk over the pond getting on with all this Covid malarkey? A miserable existence but we're coping with it ok. I feel for the people who live on their own, must be awful for them. We can take a ride out on our own or with one other. Not many places open, like the caffs we all used to call at for lunch & meet up with others.

Really missing our children & grandchildren, seems such a long time since we had them jumping all over us, usually beating up on me.


Current: 1958 Ariel 650 FH, 2014 Tiger Sport1050, 1995 XT225 Serow, 2016 Tiger 800 XRx.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149386 11/23/20 08:44 PM
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 4,687
Az4x4 Online Content
Platinum Member
*****
Online Content
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 4,687

Paul, I don't know about others, but in my area things don't seem far out of kilter. Most places are open and running. Except for the occasional sign saying "Mask Required" you'd never know much of anything has changed.

Life goes on pretty much as usual. Local kids are in school. Teachers teach. Parents parent. Workers work. Truckers haul stuff. Loggers and wood cutters ply their trade. Hunters hunt (it's archery deer season). People go about their daily chores pretty much like always here in the high country.

Lots of people wear masks while shopping, but not all. News of new vaccines ready to be distributed sound promising, but some say they won't get poked. When they're made available up here I'll get vaccinated, but other than being cautious and wearing a mask in crowds, neither I nor family and friends have seen much, if any, disruption because of the 'pandemic'.


The voyage of discovery that truly matters is not in seeking new lands but in seeing with new eyes.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149387 11/23/20 08:52 PM
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 6,121
Muniac Offline OP
Platinum Member
*****
OP Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 6,121
Yes it is sad especially now with Thanksgiving, Christmas and New Years on the horizon. All social events involving groups of people enjoying each other's company. Or at least we used to.

Montrose County killed 11 as of April which is now up at 15. Many places report some spiking. We've got about 250 cases out of some 24k people. How many of them are actual, false positive, will make it or check out I don't know. There are probably a lot more that are just home toughing it out. IE, off the radar. Parts of this are a sham while other parts are legitimate. The challenge is discovering fact from fiction. Not easy in a sea of emotionally charged and politicized data. I must confess to some frustration when I see a single Prius driver wearing a mask going down the road to nowhere. Or a road cyclist in the middle of nowhere masked up.

Jeannie went online to order some Christmas cards and saw ones with Santa wearing a mask. I'm speechless.

Overall in rural SW Colorado, Jeannie and I have experienced almost no effects from the BIG 19. The area is fairly clean so far. We're able to go out and about per our normal schedule. Which usually doesn't involve crowds where we go. As for masks, we'll wear them if it eases tensions in stores. It isn't really a big deal for a short time. I've worn dust masks all my life for work, riding and projects. So I'm OK with them. Jeannie less so. She has about a 15 minute limit then it needs to come off or she'll pass out.

America has bigger fish to fry right now trying to restore election integrity. It's become quite the sh*t show as of late and an embarrassment to our nation. Vaccine is due out now anytime so we'll see where that takes us. No plans at this moment to get injected. We'll wait to see what happens with the large groups. In this rural area I'm not sure when it will even show up.

Be safe, be careful and stay health.


Evolve & Simplify
Be There or Be Nowhere! A Few Adventures & Video
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149388 11/23/20 09:06 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
Paul49 Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
We currently have all pubs & non-essential shops closed. Food shops & takeaway are open, we have to wear masks in them & on payment at fuel stations. Gloves are supplied to handle fuel pumps & hand cleanser at shops.

We have nearly 10Million workers furloughed, being paid partly by the gov. Many have lost their jobs. Take a long time to come back from this mess. I will have the vaccine when offered but don't have great confidence in the UK one. It's like our worst nightmare but we'll get through it eh.

https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/hmrc-coronavirus-covid-19-statistics

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-730-000-have-lost-their-job-since-lockdown-began-12046850


Current: 1958 Ariel 650 FH, 2014 Tiger Sport1050, 1995 XT225 Serow, 2016 Tiger 800 XRx.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149390 11/23/20 09:44 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
Paul49 Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
The UK comes out of lockdown 2nd December. But we in the north will then go into Tier 3 restrictions. People scowl at each other as they pass at a distance walking in the street. One of our Triumph club has caught it, he is seriously ill in hospital.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55048990


Current: 1958 Ariel 650 FH, 2014 Tiger Sport1050, 1995 XT225 Serow, 2016 Tiger 800 XRx.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149391 11/23/20 09:45 PM
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 3,583
peejman Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 3,583
Numbers (if you believe them) have been steadily increasing here. Most everything is open with masks required but not strictly enforced most places. I'm afraid we're heading for another lockdown, especially with the change in administration. Our economy will suffer mightily should that happen.


This shall pass, be still and know.
2006 XT225, UNI filter, ProTaper bars, MSR handguards, SS front brake line, Shinko 241's.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149397 11/24/20 09:31 AM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
Paul49 Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,887
There are huge differences in number of deaths to cases by area from reading the WHO data.

In the UK we have 1,527,495 cases with 55,230 deaths eg 1 in 28 who caught it, died from it. While in Germany, that figure is 1 in 67.

Similar figures in US with New York very high at 1 in 19 while Colorado is 1 in 72.


Current: 1958 Ariel 650 FH, 2014 Tiger Sport1050, 1995 XT225 Serow, 2016 Tiger 800 XRx.
Re: Calling Paul49 [Re: Muniac] #149400 11/24/20 05:52 PM
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 6,121
Muniac Offline OP
Platinum Member
*****
OP Offline
Platinum Member
*****
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 6,121
I'd like to offer some hope and optimism but seem to struggle with that at the moment. The link to the CDC COVID Data Tracker provides some current statistics. Crunching the numbers from their COVID totals (on top), the US is seeing 1:48 deaths (data collected since 1/21/2020). The tracker shows a map broken out by states tabulating cases reported in the last 7 days. If you mouse over the states you'll get a popup window. Colorado reports a rate of 49 COVID deaths per 100k people which is .05% What's interesting is the states showing higher new cases. The north center states are spiking more. Perhaps colder climates and more people indoors. Utah and New Mexico I can't explain.

TN is doing a bit better than CO is on new cases. I don't think this is going away anytime soon. Hopefully the vaccine offers some relief.

Paul - Sorry to hear about what's going on in the UK and your club member that's so sick. Stay healthy and best to him for a recovery.


Evolve & Simplify
Be There or Be Nowhere! A Few Adventures & Video
Page 4 of 6 1 2 3 4 5 6

Web & Site Search
Google
 
Custom TO Customer
Specialty Resource
Fab Ads
Boardcaster Updates

Board Upgrade: Board upgrade to V7.7.3 has been completed on Monday Feb 3rd 2020. Ride safely. Enjoy the new software!

Who's Online Now
0 registered members (), 56 guests, and 1 spider.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
ShoutChat Box
Comment Guidelines: Do post respectful and insightful comments. Don't flame, hate, spam.
Top Posters(All Time)
Reggie 11,645
Muniac 6,121
alexd 5,915
Az4x4 4,687
Moto Psycho 4,684
peejman 3,583
kris 2,366
Paul49 1,887
Doc250 1,643
JerryH 1,603
Forum Statistics
Forums38
Topics16,274
Posts145,901
Members5,566
Most Online279
Dec 6th, 2019
Newest Members
MikerBiker, Kansaspunkcore, Sheabird, Stroppyjock, Krummyrider
5566 Registered Users
December
S M T W T F S
1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30 31
Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.3